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  • Writer's pictureTrader Stewie

State of the Market: December 2022

Updated: Dec 12, 2022

Hi Folks,

I just wanted to create another State of the Market post, our last "State of the Market" post was back in September of this year! That post worked out quite well in respect to which way the market went and I received quite a bit of positive feedback so I figured this would be a time to make an update!

Since the last post the market has changed tone and I'd like to update you on what I've been seeing! The biggest stand out has been the market reacting to dovish fed comments in a positive manner. Since the low the market put in mid October the market has changed tune. I think the CPI data that drops on 12-13-2022 at 8:30am est. will likely give us a clear picture of where the market wants to head next!

This is what I've been seeing:

  • Gap down opens continue to get bought, leading into late day strength.

  • We've been seeing more and more stocks make Bullish Power Earnings Gaps

  • Nasdaq is now trading back above the 20 MA

  • SMH continues to find strength near the 200 MA

  • S&P 500 is trying to find traction back above the 200 MA for the first time in 7 months

Gap Down Opens Continue to be Bought!

NASDAQ creating higher low after higher low and trading back above the 20EMA in a bullish manner!

$SMH trying to advance back above the 200 MA!

$SPY trying to reclaim and find support back above the 200D MA for the first time in 7 months!

All of these small snippets continue to paint a much different picture than what we've seen this past year. In the latest FED meeting J. Powell potentially hinted at an earlier than expected fed pivot which sent markets rallying higher. CPI and jobs data have crossed the tape in the past 6 weeks and the market continues to buy it up in a bullish manner.

obviously no one knows what's next for the market and nobody knows whether a "bottom" or "low" has been truly been put in. You'll only know that after the fact. One observation I've made over the years though is the market tends to put lows in near October, is this merely a coincidence? likely, but only time will tell!

This was taken from "Things I've Learned After 25 Years of Trading!" This post is jam packed with knowledge and lesson that I've sure every trader could benefit from!

Lets see what the month of December has in store for us! The Art of Trading short term portfolio has returned 22.84% YTD so far this year. We're looking to close out strong!

Cheers and happy trading!

Art of Trading

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